Africa Oil Refining Market Projected to Grow at XX CAGR: Insights and Forecasts 2026-2034

Africa Oil Refining Market by Geography (Nigeria, Algeria, Egypt, South Africa, Rest of Africa), by Nigeria, by Algeria, by Egypt, by South Africa, by Rest of Africa Forecast 2026-2034

Aug 21 2025
Base Year: 2025

180 Pages
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Africa Oil Refining Market Projected to Grow at XX CAGR: Insights and Forecasts 2026-2034


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Key Insights

The Africa Oil Refining Market, valued at $31.8 billion in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, driven by increasing energy demand fueled by population growth and industrialization across the continent. Key drivers include rising vehicle ownership, expanding aviation sectors in key regions like South Africa and the UAE, and the burgeoning petrochemical industry. The market is segmented by product type, encompassing gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other refined petroleum products. Major players like Oryx Energies SA, Midoil Refining, and Mercuria Energy Trading are actively shaping the market landscape through strategic investments and operational expansions. While growth is anticipated, challenges remain, including infrastructure limitations in some regions, fluctuating crude oil prices impacting profitability, and the growing emphasis on renewable energy sources which may eventually impact long-term demand for refined petroleum products. The historical period (2019-2024) likely saw a fluctuating growth rate due to global economic shifts and regional political factors influencing energy markets. The forecast period (2025-2033) is predicted to show a steady growth trajectory, although the rate may adjust based on shifts in global energy policies and technological advancements in alternative fuels. The Middle East and Africa region, particularly the UAE, South Africa, and Saudi Arabia, are key contributors to market revenue. However, significant growth potential exists within the "Rest of MEA" segment as infrastructure develops and economies expand.

Africa Oil Refining Market Research Report - Market Overview and Key Insights

Africa Oil Refining Market Market Size (In Billion)

50.0B
40.0B
30.0B
20.0B
10.0B
0
31.80 B
2025
33.57 B
2026
35.45 B
2027
37.46 B
2028
39.60 B
2029
41.88 B
2030
44.30 B
2031
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The 5.4% CAGR projected for the Africa Oil Refining Market over the forecast period (2025-2033) suggests a consistent and substantial expansion. This positive outlook is tempered by the inherent volatility of the oil and gas sector, subject to global supply chain disruptions, geopolitical instability, and shifts in consumer preferences towards sustainable energy solutions. The market's success will depend on strategic investments in refining capacity, improvements in infrastructure to support efficient distribution, and a balanced approach that considers the long-term transition towards a more diversified energy mix. Companies are likely investing in technological upgrades to enhance refining efficiency and reduce environmental impact, aligning with growing global sustainability concerns. This includes efforts to reduce carbon emissions and improve operational efficiency.

Africa Oil Refining Market Market Size and Forecast (2024-2030)

Africa Oil Refining Market Company Market Share

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Africa Oil Refining Market: A Comprehensive Report (2019-2033)

This in-depth report provides a comprehensive analysis of the Africa Oil Refining Market, offering invaluable insights for industry professionals, investors, and strategic decision-makers. With a study period spanning 2019-2033, a base year of 2025, and a forecast period of 2025-2033, this report leverages rigorous data analysis to present a clear picture of market trends, challenges, and opportunities. The report covers key segments including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, and profiles leading players such as Oryx Energies SA, Midoil Refining and Petrochemicals Company Ltd, and Engen Petroleum Ltd. Expect detailed analysis on market size (in Billions), CAGR, and key market dynamics.

Africa Oil Refining Market Structure & Innovation Trends

This section analyzes the competitive landscape of the African oil refining market, examining market concentration, innovation drivers, and regulatory frameworks. We delve into the impact of M&A activities, analyzing deal values and their influence on market share. The report also explores the role of product substitutes and evolving end-user demographics.

  • Market Concentration: The report will quantify market share held by key players, identifying dominant firms and assessing the level of competition. We will analyze the market concentration ratio (xx%).
  • Innovation Drivers: The report will examine technological advancements driving innovation, including advancements in refining processes and the adoption of cleaner technologies.
  • Regulatory Frameworks: A detailed overview of the regulatory landscape across African nations, including licensing requirements, environmental regulations, and trade policies, will be provided.
  • Product Substitutes: The report will assess the impact of biofuels and other alternative fuels on the market.
  • End-User Demographics: The report will analyze the influence of population growth and economic development on fuel demand.
  • M&A Activities: The report will detail significant mergers and acquisitions in the sector, including deal values (in Billions) and their implications for market consolidation.

Africa Oil Refining Market Dynamics & Trends

This section explores the key factors driving market growth, technological disruptions, evolving consumer preferences, and competitive dynamics within the African oil refining market. The report uses a robust methodology to calculate and project market growth, providing precise CAGR and market penetration data.

The analysis will cover:

  • Market Growth Drivers: Factors such as rising energy demand, industrialization, and urbanization in Africa are analyzed. We examine their contribution to market growth.
  • Technological Disruptions: The impact of new refining technologies, automation, and digitalization on efficiency and competitiveness is discussed.
  • Consumer Preferences: Changing consumer preferences for cleaner fuels and the growing adoption of electric vehicles are considered.
  • Competitive Dynamics: The report analyzes competitive strategies, including pricing, product differentiation, and market expansion plans.

Dominant Regions & Segments in Africa Oil Refining Market

This section identifies the leading regions and segments within the Africa Oil Refining Market, providing a detailed analysis of their dominance. Key drivers for each dominant region and segment are highlighted using bullet points.

  • Dominant Region/Country: [Specify the dominant region/country based on your data, e.g., Nigeria]
    • Key Drivers:
      • Favorable Government Policies
      • Robust Infrastructure
      • Abundant Crude Oil Reserves
      • Growing Energy Demand
  • Dominant Product Segment: [Specify the dominant product segment based on your data, e.g., Gasoline]
    • Key Drivers:
      • High Vehicle Ownership
      • Expanding Transportation Sector
      • Rising Disposable Incomes
    • Detailed Dominance Analysis: [Provide a paragraph explaining the factors that contribute to this segment's dominance.]

Africa Oil Refining Market Product Innovations

This section summarizes recent product developments, highlighting technological trends and market fit. The focus is on competitive advantages offered by new products and their adoption rate.

[Write a paragraph (100-150 words) summarizing product developments, applications, and competitive advantages, emphasizing technological trends and market fit. For example, discuss the introduction of cleaner fuels, improved refining processes, or the use of advanced materials in refinery construction.]

Report Scope & Segmentation Analysis

This report segments the Africa Oil Refining Market based on product type: Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, and Others. Each segment's growth projections, market size (in Billions), and competitive dynamics are analyzed.

  • Gasoline: [Paragraph describing the gasoline segment, including market size, growth projections, and competitive dynamics]
  • Diesel: [Paragraph describing the diesel segment, including market size, growth projections, and competitive dynamics]
  • Jet Fuel: [Paragraph describing the jet fuel segment, including market size, growth projections, and competitive dynamics]
  • Others: [Paragraph describing the "Others" segment, including market size, growth projections, and competitive dynamics]

Key Drivers of Africa Oil Refining Market Growth

This section outlines the key factors driving the growth of the Africa Oil Refining Market.

[Write a paragraph (150 words) outlining growth drivers, focusing on technological, economic, and regulatory factors with specific examples. For example, discuss increased investment in refinery infrastructure, government incentives for fuel production, or the growing demand from industrial sectors.]

Challenges in the Africa Oil Refining Market Sector

This section identifies and analyzes the key challenges hindering the growth of the African oil refining market.

[Write a paragraph or a list (150 words) addressing regulatory hurdles, supply chain issues, and competitive pressures with quantifiable impacts. For example, discuss issues like political instability, infrastructure limitations, or the volatility of crude oil prices.]

Emerging Opportunities in Africa Oil Refining Market

This section highlights promising emerging trends and opportunities for growth in the African oil refining market.

[Write a paragraph or a list (150 words) focusing on new markets, technologies, or consumer preferences. For instance, discuss the potential for biofuel production, the adoption of renewable energy sources, or the growth of specialized fuel markets.]

Leading Players in the Africa Oil Refining Market Market

  • Oryx Energies SA
  • Midoil Refining and Petrochemicals Company Ltd
  • Octogone International Oil and Gas Limited
  • Mercuria Energy Trading SA
  • KBR Inc
  • Egyptian Refining Company (ERC)
  • Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC)
  • NDEP PLC
  • Indorama Eleme Petrochemicals Ltd
  • Engen Petroleum Ltd

Key Developments in Africa Oil Refining Market Industry

  • November 2021: The Dangote group announced plans to commission the Dangote refinery in 2022. This 650,000 b/d refinery, located in Lagos, Nigeria, is poised to become Africa's largest integrated refinery and the world's biggest single-train facility. This development significantly impacts market dynamics, increasing refining capacity and potentially altering the competitive landscape.

Future Outlook for Africa Oil Refining Market Market

The future of the African oil refining market is promising, driven by sustained economic growth, rising energy demand, and ongoing infrastructure development. Strategic opportunities exist for companies to capitalize on this growth through investments in new refining technologies, capacity expansions, and the development of cleaner fuels. The market is expected to experience significant growth in the coming years, presenting substantial potential for both established players and new entrants.

Africa Oil Refining Market Segmentation

  • 1. Geography
    • 1.1. Nigeria
    • 1.2. Algeria
    • 1.3. Egypt
    • 1.4. South Africa
    • 1.5. Rest of Africa

Africa Oil Refining Market Segmentation By Geography

  • 1. Nigeria
  • 2. Algeria
  • 3. Egypt
  • 4. South Africa
  • 5. Rest of Africa
Africa Oil Refining Market Market Share by Region - Global Geographic Distribution

Africa Oil Refining Market Regional Market Share

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Geographic Coverage of Africa Oil Refining Market

Higher Coverage
Lower Coverage
No Coverage

Africa Oil Refining Market REPORT HIGHLIGHTS

AspectsDetails
Study Period 2020-2034
Base Year 2025
Estimated Year 2026
Forecast Period2026-2034
Historical Period2020-2025
Growth RateCAGR of 5.4% from 2020-2034
Segmentation
    • By Geography
      • Nigeria
      • Algeria
      • Egypt
      • South Africa
      • Rest of Africa
  • By Geography
    • Nigeria
    • Algeria
    • Egypt
    • South Africa
    • Rest of Africa

Table of Contents

  1. 1. Introduction
    • 1.1. Research Scope
    • 1.2. Market Segmentation
    • 1.3. Research Methodology
    • 1.4. Definitions and Assumptions
  2. 2. Executive Summary
    • 2.1. Introduction
  3. 3. Market Dynamics
    • 3.1. Introduction
      • 3.2. Market Drivers
        • 3.2.1. 4.; Increasing investment in the Midstream Sector4.; Increasing Production of Oil and Natural Gas
      • 3.3. Market Restrains
        • 3.3.1. 4.; Inadequate Infrastructure in the Country
      • 3.4. Market Trends
        • 3.4.1. Egypt Expected to Dominate the Market
  4. 4. Market Factor Analysis
    • 4.1. Porters Five Forces
    • 4.2. Supply/Value Chain
    • 4.3. PESTEL analysis
    • 4.4. Market Entropy
    • 4.5. Patent/Trademark Analysis
  5. 5. Africa Oil Refining Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast, 2020-2032
    • 5.1. Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast - by Geography
      • 5.1.1. Nigeria
      • 5.1.2. Algeria
      • 5.1.3. Egypt
      • 5.1.4. South Africa
      • 5.1.5. Rest of Africa
    • 5.2. Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast - by Region
      • 5.2.1. Nigeria
      • 5.2.2. Algeria
      • 5.2.3. Egypt
      • 5.2.4. South Africa
      • 5.2.5. Rest of Africa
  6. 6. Nigeria Africa Oil Refining Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast, 2020-2032
    • 6.1. Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast - by Geography
      • 6.1.1. Nigeria
      • 6.1.2. Algeria
      • 6.1.3. Egypt
      • 6.1.4. South Africa
      • 6.1.5. Rest of Africa
  7. 7. Algeria Africa Oil Refining Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast, 2020-2032
    • 7.1. Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast - by Geography
      • 7.1.1. Nigeria
      • 7.1.2. Algeria
      • 7.1.3. Egypt
      • 7.1.4. South Africa
      • 7.1.5. Rest of Africa
  8. 8. Egypt Africa Oil Refining Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast, 2020-2032
    • 8.1. Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast - by Geography
      • 8.1.1. Nigeria
      • 8.1.2. Algeria
      • 8.1.3. Egypt
      • 8.1.4. South Africa
      • 8.1.5. Rest of Africa
  9. 9. South Africa Africa Oil Refining Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast, 2020-2032
    • 9.1. Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast - by Geography
      • 9.1.1. Nigeria
      • 9.1.2. Algeria
      • 9.1.3. Egypt
      • 9.1.4. South Africa
      • 9.1.5. Rest of Africa
  10. 10. Rest of Africa Africa Oil Refining Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast, 2020-2032
    • 10.1. Market Analysis, Insights and Forecast - by Geography
      • 10.1.1. Nigeria
      • 10.1.2. Algeria
      • 10.1.3. Egypt
      • 10.1.4. South Africa
      • 10.1.5. Rest of Africa
  11. 11. Competitive Analysis
    • 11.1. Market Share Analysis 2025
      • 11.2. Company Profiles
        • 11.2.1 Oryx Energies SA
          • 11.2.1.1. Overview
          • 11.2.1.2. Products
          • 11.2.1.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.1.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.1.5. Financials (Based on Availability)
        • 11.2.2 Midoil Refining and Petrochemicals Company Ltd
          • 11.2.2.1. Overview
          • 11.2.2.2. Products
          • 11.2.2.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.2.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.2.5. Financials (Based on Availability)
        • 11.2.3 Octogone International Oil and Gas Limited*List Not Exhaustive
          • 11.2.3.1. Overview
          • 11.2.3.2. Products
          • 11.2.3.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.3.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.3.5. Financials (Based on Availability)
        • 11.2.4 Mercuria Energy Trading SA
          • 11.2.4.1. Overview
          • 11.2.4.2. Products
          • 11.2.4.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.4.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.4.5. Financials (Based on Availability)
        • 11.2.5 KBR Inc
          • 11.2.5.1. Overview
          • 11.2.5.2. Products
          • 11.2.5.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.5.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.5.5. Financials (Based on Availability)
        • 11.2.6 Egyptian Refining Company (ERC)
          • 11.2.6.1. Overview
          • 11.2.6.2. Products
          • 11.2.6.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.6.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.6.5. Financials (Based on Availability)
        • 11.2.7 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC)
          • 11.2.7.1. Overview
          • 11.2.7.2. Products
          • 11.2.7.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.7.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.7.5. Financials (Based on Availability)
        • 11.2.8 NDEP PLC
          • 11.2.8.1. Overview
          • 11.2.8.2. Products
          • 11.2.8.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.8.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.8.5. Financials (Based on Availability)
        • 11.2.9 Indorama Eleme Petrochemicals Ltd
          • 11.2.9.1. Overview
          • 11.2.9.2. Products
          • 11.2.9.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.9.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.9.5. Financials (Based on Availability)
        • 11.2.10 Engen Petroleum Ltd
          • 11.2.10.1. Overview
          • 11.2.10.2. Products
          • 11.2.10.3. SWOT Analysis
          • 11.2.10.4. Recent Developments
          • 11.2.10.5. Financials (Based on Availability)

List of Figures

  1. Figure 1: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Breakdown (Billion, %) by Product 2025 & 2033
  2. Figure 2: Africa Oil Refining Market Share (%) by Company 2025

List of Tables

  1. Table 1: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  2. Table 2: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  3. Table 3: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Region 2020 & 2033
  4. Table 4: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Region 2020 & 2033
  5. Table 5: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  6. Table 6: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  7. Table 7: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033
  8. Table 8: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033
  9. Table 9: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  10. Table 10: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  11. Table 11: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033
  12. Table 12: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033
  13. Table 13: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  14. Table 14: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  15. Table 15: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033
  16. Table 16: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033
  17. Table 17: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  18. Table 18: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  19. Table 19: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033
  20. Table 20: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033
  21. Table 21: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  22. Table 22: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Geography 2020 & 2033
  23. Table 23: Africa Oil Refining Market Revenue Billion Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033
  24. Table 24: Africa Oil Refining Market Volume K Tons Forecast, by Country 2020 & 2033

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is the projected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of the Africa Oil Refining Market?

The projected CAGR is approximately 5.4%.

2. Which companies are prominent players in the Africa Oil Refining Market?

Key companies in the market include Oryx Energies SA, Midoil Refining and Petrochemicals Company Ltd, Octogone International Oil and Gas Limited*List Not Exhaustive, Mercuria Energy Trading SA, KBR Inc, Egyptian Refining Company (ERC), Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), NDEP PLC, Indorama Eleme Petrochemicals Ltd, Engen Petroleum Ltd.

3. What are the main segments of the Africa Oil Refining Market?

The market segments include Geography.

4. Can you provide details about the market size?

The market size is estimated to be USD 31.8 Billion as of 2022.

5. What are some drivers contributing to market growth?

4.; Increasing investment in the Midstream Sector4.; Increasing Production of Oil and Natural Gas.

6. What are the notable trends driving market growth?

Egypt Expected to Dominate the Market.

7. Are there any restraints impacting market growth?

4.; Inadequate Infrastructure in the Country.

8. Can you provide examples of recent developments in the market?

November 2021: The Dangote group announced that they are likely to commission the Dangote refinery in 2022. The 650,000 b/d refinery is located in Lagos, Nigeria. It is believed to be Africa's largest upcoming integrated refinery and the world's biggest single-train facility.

9. What pricing options are available for accessing the report?

Pricing options include single-user, multi-user, and enterprise licenses priced at USD 4750, USD 5250, and USD 8750 respectively.

10. Is the market size provided in terms of value or volume?

The market size is provided in terms of value, measured in Billion and volume, measured in K Tons.

11. Are there any specific market keywords associated with the report?

Yes, the market keyword associated with the report is "Africa Oil Refining Market," which aids in identifying and referencing the specific market segment covered.

12. How do I determine which pricing option suits my needs best?

The pricing options vary based on user requirements and access needs. Individual users may opt for single-user licenses, while businesses requiring broader access may choose multi-user or enterprise licenses for cost-effective access to the report.

13. Are there any additional resources or data provided in the Africa Oil Refining Market report?

While the report offers comprehensive insights, it's advisable to review the specific contents or supplementary materials provided to ascertain if additional resources or data are available.

14. How can I stay updated on further developments or reports in the Africa Oil Refining Market?

To stay informed about further developments, trends, and reports in the Africa Oil Refining Market, consider subscribing to industry newsletters, following relevant companies and organizations, or regularly checking reputable industry news sources and publications.

Methodology

Step 1 - Identification of Relevant Samples Size from Population Database

Step Chart
Bar Chart
Method Chart

Step 2 - Approaches for Defining Global Market Size (Value, Volume* & Price*)

Approach Chart
Top-down and bottom-up approaches are used to validate the global market size and estimate the market size for manufactures, regional segments, product, and application.

Note*: In applicable scenarios

Step 3 - Data Sources

Primary Research

  • Web Analytics
  • Survey Reports
  • Research Institute
  • Latest Research Reports
  • Opinion Leaders

Secondary Research

  • Annual Reports
  • White Paper
  • Latest Press Release
  • Industry Association
  • Paid Database
  • Investor Presentations
Analyst Chart

Step 4 - Data Triangulation

Involves using different sources of information in order to increase the validity of a study

These sources are likely to be stakeholders in a program - participants, other researchers, program staff, other community members, and so on.

Then we put all data in single framework & apply various statistical tools to find out the dynamic on the market.

During the analysis stage, feedback from the stakeholder groups would be compared to determine areas of agreement as well as areas of divergence

Additionally, after gathering mixed and scattered data from a wide range of sources, data is triangulated and correlated to come up with estimated figures which are further validated through primary mediums or industry experts, opinion leaders.